Here is a challenge: predict the number of points teams will have in the first half of the season the moment the transfermarkt closes. Here is the catch: you are only allowed to use statistics of individual players. No team statistics like wins, goals scored, goals conceded or historical team records are allowed. The reason…

Yesterday, we already showed the high correlation between FBM team score and the league ranking (80%) without using any team statistics like team wins, team goals scored etc. Today, we show you an even higher correlation (88%) between FBM team score and team value according to TransferMarkt.

There is an 80% correlation between FBM team score and the rank a team has in their league. That is a very high correlation. But it would not be impressive if FBM team score would be calculated with team results as one of the inputs.

At FBM we divide players into four categories, namely: Excellent players, who have a FBM score of 8 or higher. Good players who have a FBM score between 5.5 and 8. Average players who have a FBM score between 2 and 5.5. Bad players who have a FBM score of below 2. Our assumption is…